Wall Street bankers , Washington politicians , happy usa economists and the media trumpet a substantial rebound in the U.S. economy in the second half of 2013 and beyond, due to the continued use of open and closed Federal Reserve 85 billion a month in QE. happy usa Learn why this is an illusion . Rather, it is not necessary to solve the current credit crisis in 2008 people on the steps of the energy towers and public relations propaganda .happy usa
If the U.S. economy double-dip recession usa happy
The Institute for Business Cycle Research (ECRI ) has an excellent professional reputation correctly predicted the last three recessions in the United States. During the last week of September 2011 , ECRI reports that the U.S. economy had reached its recent peak maximum expansion , and the U.S. economy could begin to slow . happy usa The day of the announcement of the ECRI recession , Fed Chairman Bernanke said that the policy of quantitative easing (QE ) called Operation Twist,usa happy and in September 2012 , QE3 , and in December 2012 , an open EQ4 . The Fed's actions to curb economic decline inevitable, but did not stop, says ECRI , and may , ironically, the potential trough of the recession worse. For former Bundesbank President Axel Weber , said : " Central banks may buy time, but can not solve long-term problems . "happy usa
GDP growth slows U.S. . In 2010 , GDP growth of 2.4 % in 2011 , 2.0 % % , and for 2012 is 1.7% . For the first half of 2013 , usa happy on an annual basis , GDP growth slows to 1.4% . Nalewaik , a researcher at the Federal Reserve, the study of economic growth, and discover the economic downturn reach the stall speed . happy usa Since 1947 , less than 2 % GDP growth , year after year, as economic growth slows, always correctly predicted an economic downturn that usually becomes evident 70 % of the time in the coming years . happy usa As a result , it is likely that 70 % of negative GDP growth in 2013 , usa happy and if not there, almost a certainty in 2014 . From this we can deduce that the U.S. economy recession is slowing and experience quarters of negative GDP growth , perhaps in the year.happy usa
happy usa Important real economic measures indicate that the U.S. economy remains weak. The rate of participation in the civilian labor force decreased to 63.3 % in March 2013 from 67.3 % in 2000 , usa happy matching levels last series in 1979. The decline in the unemployment rate over the last three years and a half , from 10% to 7.4% , is almost exclusively attributable to discouraged workers leaving the labor force. Approximately 90 million Americans of working age do not work .happy usa
Furthermore, the quality of jobs in the United States is in decline. Real wages ,happy usa a good indicator of living standards, is negative in 2011 and 2012 , about 0.5 % per year, although labor productivity is increasing , according to the 2013 Economic Report of the President.usa happy This is indicative of a change in the composition of employment in the United States , high-paying jobs full time to part-time work with low wages. The expansion of the U.S. happy usa economy continues. The good jobs shipped overseas as part of the internationalization strategy of U.S. companies - even as the U.S. corporate earnings as a percentage of GDP peaked at all time. Without a real wage growth , it is difficult for Americans to pay their high debt levels . Therefore, the 2008 credit crisis continues.happy usa
